Wednesday 21 August 2013

Abner Mares v Jhonny Gonzalez

Love him or hate him Abner Mares (26-0-1, 14), the current WBC Featherweight champion, is one of the sport's genuine emerging talents. He has shown himself to be fearless and happy to face anyone and although some of his victories have come with some somewhat dubious officiating he has always proven to be tough, fun watch and a fighter wanting to prove a point.

Mares is a Mexican who can both box or fight. At his best he's a combination throwing action fighter. Not a big hitter by any stretch of the imagination but a very clever fighter who can apply a lot of pressure and break opponents mentally as well as physically. He has sharp punches that are thrown in bunches, he has a fantastic body attack and a gritty determination to him.

Although many will try to complain that all of Mares's biggest wins have come with a fair amount of doubt from things like low blows, questionable calls and some rather nice refereeing he has proven to be able to instill his will on good fighters. Something he did in impressive fashion to Anselmo Moreno and Daniel Ponce De Leon in his last 2 bouts.

With victories over not just Moreno and Ponce De Leon but also Joseph Agbeko, Vic Darchinyan, Eric Morel and Yonnhy Perez it's fair to that Mares has been going through strong competition and proving himself in a way that only he and Carl Froch having being doing so.


This coming weekend Mares attempts to make the  first defense of his Featherweight title as he takes on former champion Jhonny Gonzalez  (54-8, 46), a massively hard hitting Mexican who at his best has the power to rattle any fighters senses.

Gonzalez combines hard hitting power with solid boxing and decent size. At the fringe world level he's had great success with his ability to box or bomb, though he has been found to have issues that have plagued his career, notably a weaker than average chin.

Although talented Gonzalez has had mixed results at the top level beating the likes of Ratanachai Sor Vorapin, Marc Johnson, Fernando Montiel, Elios Rojas and Hozumi Hasegawa and losing to Israel Vazquez, Gerry Penalosa, Toshiaki Nishioka and Daniel Ponce De Leon. It's these mixed results that has made Gonzalez so difficult to read. Every time his career looks to be faltering he manages a big win and every time his career looks ready to take off he falters

If Gonzalez connects clean we will learn a lot about Mares's chin. He has been down in his career but has shown his toughness to get up and fight on though Gonzalez, at least on paper, the biggest puncher he'll have faced (or at least on an even keel with Ponce De Leon). Unfortunately I don't see see Gonzalez landing clean often enough to really give Mares any trouble and in fact I imagine Mares will be one step ahead of Gonzalez through out the fight using his speed advantage to neutralise the reach of Gonzalez.

With Mares likely to land to the body of Gonzalez early I think he'll eventually beat the power from Gonzalez before stopping him in the middle to late rounds.

Prediction- Mares TKO9

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