Showing posts with label Macau. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Macau. Show all posts

Thursday, 21 November 2013

Evgeny Gradovich v Billy Dib II

Earlier this year Russian Evgeny Gradovich (17-0, 8) announced himself on to the world stage by claiming the IBF Featherweight title courtesy of a decision over Australia's Billy Dib (36-2-0-1, 21). That bout, way back in March, wasn't a particularly fun to watch fight but it did see the massively over-hyped Dib losing his claim of being a "world champion".

Just over 8 months after their first meeting the two men collide in a rematch as one of the chief support bouts to the mouth watering clash between Manny Pacquiao and Brandon Rios. Whilst it may be boxing's equivalent to an appetiser I can't help but feel that this is a second serving I don't much want.

Since their first meeting Gradovich has seemingly become a better fighter. Sure he's not a shadow in the ring, but he's growing in confidence and experience fighter after fight. At the moment there is still some way to progress though he's still a 100 punch a round fighter who looks to beat up, grind down and defeat foes with constant work-rate and pressure.

If there is a clear issue with Gradovich it could be that he lacks fight ending power, and as a result his own physical demise may come quicker, though so far he has appeared sturdy and the sort of fighter who will give anyone headaches. In fact I'd go as far as to say that Gradovich is the type of guy who will give opponents cluster headaches due to sheer volume.

Whilst I feel Gradovich is improving I also feel the reverse is true when it comes to Dib. The once promising Australian really seems to have gone backwards since the first meeting with Gradovich. What was once a promising skilled fighter now appears to be a crude spoiler with little in terms of power, true boxing skills and although he still possesses some speed he's not looking world class.

Unfortunately for Dib he seems to have been a man who believed in his own hype. Now fighting after the loss to Gradovich he seems to be a man lacking either the confidence to be world class or the fire to compete at the top level. Whatever it is it's going to effect him again here and what should be a tale of revenge will just be a further step backwards for Dib.

With Gradovich lacking world class power I just see this being a bit of a 1-sided but messy decision for the "Russian Mexican" who will likely be hoping this is the last he has to do with Dib who is a frustration to many, including myself.

Prediction-Gradovich UD12

Thursday, 25 July 2013

Juan Francisco Estrada v Milan Melindo

Emerging Mexican star Juan Francisco Estrada (24-2, 18) makes the first defense of his WBA and WBO Flyweight titles that he claimed from Brian Viloria earlier this year. Estrada returns to the scene of that victory over Viloria as he faces unbeaten Filipino challenger Milan Melindo (29-0, 12).

The 23 year old Estrada really came to the attention of boxing fans late last year when he narrowly lost in a Light Flyweight title bout to Roman Gonzalez. Since then Estrada has become a favourite of mine with his heart and style.

At Flyweight Estrada is huge and uses his size and strength to his advantage as he brings a lot of pressure, true toughness (both mentally and physically) and very solid work rate. His toughness is draining to any opponent and he appeared to take the best shots of both Gonzalez (one of the hardest punchers pound-for-pound in world boxing) and Viloria with out ever being that hurt.

Against Viloria it was the relentless pressure that saw Estrada winning. He took everything Viloria had and kept coming forward, in the second half of the fight he started to take over and came very close to stopping an exhausted Viloria late.

With a wonderful variety of punches to both head and body Estrada is a difficult fighter to defend against, he's impossible to discourage and he's a fighter who break opponents mentally or physically if they are anything other than a special fighter themselves.

Unbeaten Filipino Melindo is a fighter who has been on the verges of a world title fight for several years. He has scored impressive victories over a mini-who's who such as Muhammad Rachman, Carlos Tamara, Jesus Geles and Jean Piero Perez though has had to wait several years for his first world title bout.

Unfortunately for Melindo he's probably managed to get his world title fight at the worst time. If you look at the current Flyweight champions they are exceptional, Estrada is one of the sports most over-looked men, no one will have an easy time with Moruti Mthalane (the IBF champion) and WBC champion Akira Yaegashi is a bundle of action encased in a teak tough man. Basically every champion at the weight is special, and Estrada is probably the best.

Melindo is a talented counter puncher. He slips shots well before firing back his own and although he's not as slippery or as skilled as either Floyd Mayweather Jr or Guillermo Rigondeaux who is? At the fringes of world level his counter punching sees him to victories with out too many problems (usually) though I'm not sure how well those skills will cope at genuine world level.

Having seen Melindo pushed hard by Perez however I've got to admit I have worries about him here. If he attempts to slip shots from Estrada he will get caught, repeatedly and eventually worn down and sadly I can't Melindo having enough in his arsenal to defeat Estrada.

Prediction-Estrada TKO7

Wednesday, 24 July 2013

Evgeny Gradovich v Mauricio Javier Munoz

Mexican-Russian Evgeny Gradovich (16-0, 8) upset the boxing world just a few months ago by defeating Australian Billy Dib for the IBF Featherweight title. Gradovich now returns to the ring for the first time as a world champion as he takes on Mauricio Javier Munoz (26-3, 12) in Macau as part of the "Fists of Gold II" card.

The 26 year old champion may well be one of the least experienced champions out there in terms of professional bouts and rounds but is also from one of the top boxing gyms in the world, the Roberto Garcia gym in Oxnard California. With Garcia behind him Gradovich shares a gym with the likes of Mikey Garcia, Marcos Maidana and Brandon Rios all of whom will help him develop as a fighter.

As an amateur Gradovich was schooled in Russia where he was a solid fighter in the unpaid ranks. Since then he completely changed his style from the amateur style to that as of a busy brawler, a bundle of energy who comes forward and throws relentlessly, especially to the body. Although he's not the most accurate or the most efficient it's fair to say he will be a handful for anyone just due to his relentless assault.

Despite having only been a professional since 2010 Gradovich has been very impressive in his climb up the rankings. He may only have 95 combined rounds in his career but he has managed to take a highwork rate through a 12 round bout (the Dib contest) and twice in 10 round contests. He has also shown repeated improvement in the ring.

Argentinian Munoz is challenging for a world title for the second time, having previously been stopped by Toshiaki Nishioka in April 2011. Interestingly the Nishioka bout was fought at Super Bantamweight whilst this on will be at Featherweight.

Aged 27 Munoz has been a professional for over 7 years though hasn't yet really made a name for himself. Unfortunately other than the Nishioka fight he has yet to fight either a notable name or outside of South America. In fact the second best opponent on Munoz's record is Luis Franco, a man Munoz scored a very controversial victory over in an IBF eliminator.

In terms of his style very little really stands out about Munoz. He's active enough to make an opponent work and he's tough enough to not just fold but he's clumsy, technically very poor and seems to be pretty to out box. Whilst, as I said above, Gradovich isn't a pure boxer he's the sort of fighter who does everything Munoz does but better than Munoz.

Gradovich hits harder, he hits more and he's defensively smarter than Munoz. I really can't see anyway Munoz wins this. In Argentina the judging could have done him a favour but in Macau there really is no chance for the Argentinian who doesn't have the sort of power a fighter would need to discourage Gradovich from going to work.

Prediction-Gradovich UD12