Wednesday 8 May 2013

Adrian Hernandez v Yader Cardoza

WBC Light Flyweight champion Adrian Hernandez (26-2-1, 16) will be looking to secure his second successive defense of his world title as he takes on the relatively unknown Nicaraguan Yader Cardoza (15-4, 5).

Hernandez, widely regarded as one of the top 3 or 4 at 108lbs really does seem to be taking part in what is little more than a stay busy defense here. The Mexican, who is now a 2-time champion, is genuinely one of the sports over-looked fighters. He's beaten a genuine who's who in the past 5 years including Rodel Mayol, Gilberto Keb Baas, Gideon Buthelez and Kompayak Porpramook, though, due to his division, is relatively obscure.

Stood at 5'8 and with a 71" reach the 27 year old Hernandez is a bit of a physical freak in the division though oddly he doesn't really use his size to box as much as he should. Although he certainly can box he often appears just was will to trade up inside as he does on the outside, though on the outside he is really good. Oddly the size of the champion may actually serve a bigger purpose in the fact that when he rehydrates he likely adds a significant amount of weight back on. This added weight likely helps Hernandez to break down his opponents.

With 2 stoppage loss on his records Hernandez can be hurt (though admittedly his most recent loss did have something to do with the ridiculous conditions the bout was fought in) though he can also hurt others, much, much easier than he get hurt.

Not too much is known about Cardoza. He's a 24 year old Nicaraguan who has been a professional since 2009. His record got off to a pretty bad start as he fell to 2-3 after 5 bouts though since then he has gone 13-1 with his only loss (a decision to Eliecer Quezada) being avenged in his most recent bout.

With 19 bouts behind him and just 98 rounds it's obvious that Cardoza is either a monster puncher or has been fighting most of his fights over the shorter distance, in this case it's the latter. In his 19 bouts he has fought just a single completed 10 round bout and is 1-1 in bouts that have gone beyond the 6th round. This does not bode well with him jumping in to title level for this bout.

For me I really don't see too much reasoning behind this bout. The only logical idea seems to be that Hernandez is trying to force the hand of Roman Gonzalez. Beating up on a Nicaraguan, like Cardoza, may help get Gonzalez (also a Nicaraguan) in to the ring. The bout is little more than a gimme for "El Confessor" who really should finish this when he wants.

Prediction-Hernandez TKO6

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